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The Portfolio Decarbonisation Reference Objective

Listed equities, corporate fixed income, real estate, infrastructure, private equity and private debt

There are multiple approaches to setting the portfolio decarbonisation reference objective, each with their own advantages and disadvantages. Investors are encouraged to select the approach most suitable for their investment strategy.

Steps for setting the portfolio decarbonisation reference objective for sovereign bonds are detailed separately.

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Defined as a <10-year CO2e emissions reduction objective, expressed in absolute or intensity terms. At portfolio level, this should include scope 1 and 2 emissions.

A five year stocktake is recommended to facilitate assessment of progress.

  1. When setting objectives: NZIF recommends investors provide evidence of how the objective has been calculated, referencing the relevant net zero pathway(s) that has been used to set the objective.
  2. When monitoring and reporting progress: Investors are recommended to:
  1. Measure absolute emissions reductions achieved at the asset level, and other drivers of emissions reductions, where possible.
  2. Measure the progress towards an absolute and/or intensity target at the portfolio level.

There are multiple ways investors can calculate portfolio decarbonisation reference objectives. Each approach may vary depending factors such as the type and number of funds or mandates, portfolio turnover, data availability, analytical capabilities, and resource capacity.

This guide sets out eight key steps that investors can follow:

1. Set the scope of targets

Asset classes

NZIF recommends that investors aim to set portfolio decarbonisation reference objectives that encompass all asset classes.

 

Emissions

Integrating scope 3 emissions into portfolio level objectives is not currently recommended. Investors need to take a nuanced approach to scope 3 of investments, outlined in IIGCC’s Supplementary Guidance on Scope 3 Emissions of Investments.

2. Set the baseline year

The baseline year

Investors are recommended to set a 2019 baseline to both align with science-based net zero pathways which indicate a global 50% emissions reductions from 2019 levels to 2030 is required, and to increase comparability for net zero objectives.

Recognising several years have passed since 2019, investors setting net zero objectives and targets can work backwards, where possible, to calculate a fund or portfolio’s baseline emissions in 2019.

If investors choose to set a different baseline year, investors are recommended to fully explain:

  • The rationale for deviating from the recommendations
  • How it will be ensured that the objective is consistent with the ambition set for the portfolio
Updating targets

Investors may consider setting 5-year interim targets in addition to the <10-year objective. These shorter-term objectives can be reviewed and revised once five years have passed, at the latest. 

3. Select portfolio level metrics

Primary metrics

NZIF recommends that the portfolio decarbonisation reference objective is expressed in absolute or intensity terms.

It is further recommended that investors take a dashboard approach to measuring and reporting portfolio emissions, including utilising an absolute metric and at least one intensity-based metric.

There are three primary portfolio level metrics available for investors to utilise in objective setting and reporting for portfolio emissions, all of which have various advantages and disadvantages outlined in the guidance:

  • Absolute financed emissions (tCO2e)
  • Economic emissions intensity (tCO2e/$m invested)
  • Weighted Average Carbon Intensity, WACI (tCO2e/$m revenue) (listed equity and corporate fixed income only)

4. Select science-based net zero pathways

Using net zero pathways

Investors can establish portfolio decarbonisation reference objectives that align with science-based net zero pathways produced by credible parties and are in line with the global carbon budgets provided by the IPCC.

For enhanced robustness, investors are encouraged to consider more granular net zero pathways, including sectoral and country pathways.

 

Global net zero pathways

Investors can be guided by global 1.5°C pathways, such as the IPCC P1, P2, P3 scenarios with no or limited overshoot. Investors are recommended to consider rising emissions since the pathway baseline year, all GHG emissions, and data lags to ensure the objective reflects the required decarbonisation rates implied by 1.5°C scenarios and any changes in real economy emissions.

 

Sectoral net zero pathways

Where possible, for enhanced robustness, investors are encouraged to consider more granular net zero pathways, including sectoral and country pathways.

Figure 5

 

5. Calculate the portfolio decarbonisation reference objective

The objective

Investors are encouraged to set a <10-year CO2e emissions reduction objective, expressed in absolute or intensity terms. At portfolio level, this should include scope 1 and 2 emissions.

Investors have a range of approaches available to setting the portfolio decarbonisation reference objective, each with their own merits and disadvantages which the guidance outlines in detail.

 

Types of starting point

The self-decarbonisation approach

Investors taking a self-decarbonisation approach set decarbonisation reference objectives relative to the portfolio’s own baseline emissions.

Benchmark-relative approach

Investors taking a benchmark-relative approach determine a starting point relative to a chosen benchmark and set a decarbonisation reference objective relative to the emissions of that benchmark.

 

Approaches to quantifying the objective

Point-in-time objective

Identifies a future year and selects an appropriate rate of emissions reductions, guided by the pathways identified in step 5. For example, 30% emissions reduction by 2025 or 55% by 2030, relative to the baseline year, 2019.

Portfolio carbon budget-based objective

A budget will be based on the cumulative GHG emissions applicable to a portfolio over a specific timeframe, such as between 2019 to 2025, 2030, or 2050. For example, a reduction of 940tCO2e between 2019 and 2030.

 

 

6. Undertake attribution analysis

Attribution analysis

Investors are recommended to seek to understand which factors are driving the changes in portfolio emissions by conducting decarbonisation attribution analysis, which allocates emissions change to multiple drivers.

Decarbonisation attribution analysis offers a comprehensive way to assess and monitor the achievement of emissions reduction objectives, providing investors with key insights and action points, as outlined in the guidance.

Drivers of emissions change can be categorised into four buckets:

  1. Emissions metrics – Emissions change due to change in the operations of the underlying assets
  2. Portfolio composition – Emissions change due to divestment, new investment, and inter- or intra-sectoral weight change
  3. Financial metrics – Emissions change due to movements in non-emissions related metrics, such as EVIC and revenue
  4. Data – Emissions change due to changes in data, including coverage, quality, and methodology

The figure below provides an example of attribution analysis in practice.

Figure 10 simplified

 

7. Develop a rebaselining policy

Rebaselining policy

Recalculating portfolio baseline year emissions, or ‘rebaselining’, is a practice that investors may want to undertake to ensure consistency and relevance of reported GHG data over time and to reliably track progress against the portfolio decarbonisation reference objective.

As a general principle, the portfolio baseline is recommended to be reflective of the most recent emissions data and advanced estimation methodologies, and adjusted for changes in financial metrics unrelated to emissions.

A portfolio emissions rebaselining policy can cover:

  • The drivers of rebaselining (e.g. taken from the drivers identified through attribution analysis)
  • The frequency rebaselining will take place (e.g. on an ad-hoc or dynamic basis) and/or “thresholds” that trigger rebaselining
  • The process for communicating the outcomes of rebaselining and any impact on portfolio decarbonisation objectives

8. Ensure transparency

Disclosure recommendations

Investors are recommended to ensure transparency is always maintained in the setting and monitoring of the portfolio decarbonisation reference objective.

The document provides a detailed transparency framework to support investors in communicating a robust portfolio decarbonisation reference objective, with recommendations across all 7 steps listed above.

Asset classes

NZIF recommends that investors aim to set portfolio decarbonisation reference objectives that encompass all asset classes.

 

Emissions

Integrating scope 3 emissions into portfolio level objectives is not currently recommended. Investors need to take a nuanced approach to scope 3 of investments, outlined in IIGCC’s Supplementary Guidance on Scope 3 Emissions of Investments.

The baseline year

Investors are recommended to set a 2019 baseline to both align with science-based net zero pathways which indicate a global 50% emissions reductions from 2019 levels to 2030 is required, and to increase comparability for net zero objectives.

Recognising several years have passed since 2019, investors setting net zero objectives and targets can work backwards, where possible, to calculate a fund or portfolio’s baseline emissions in 2019.

If investors choose to set a different baseline year, investors are recommended to fully explain:

  • The rationale for deviating from the recommendations
  • How it will be ensured that the objective is consistent with the ambition set for the portfolio
Updating targets

Investors may consider setting 5-year interim targets in addition to the <10-year objective. These shorter-term objectives can be reviewed and revised once five years have passed, at the latest. 

Primary metrics

NZIF recommends that the portfolio decarbonisation reference objective is expressed in absolute or intensity terms.

It is further recommended that investors take a dashboard approach to measuring and reporting portfolio emissions, including utilising an absolute metric and at least one intensity-based metric.

There are three primary portfolio level metrics available for investors to utilise in objective setting and reporting for portfolio emissions, all of which have various advantages and disadvantages outlined in the guidance:

  • Absolute financed emissions (tCO2e)
  • Economic emissions intensity (tCO2e/$m invested)
  • Weighted Average Carbon Intensity, WACI (tCO2e/$m revenue) (listed equity and corporate fixed income only)
Using net zero pathways

Investors can establish portfolio decarbonisation reference objectives that align with science-based net zero pathways produced by credible parties and are in line with the global carbon budgets provided by the IPCC.

For enhanced robustness, investors are encouraged to consider more granular net zero pathways, including sectoral and country pathways.

 

Global net zero pathways

Investors can be guided by global 1.5°C pathways, such as the IPCC P1, P2, P3 scenarios with no or limited overshoot. Investors are recommended to consider rising emissions since the pathway baseline year, all GHG emissions, and data lags to ensure the objective reflects the required decarbonisation rates implied by 1.5°C scenarios and any changes in real economy emissions.

 

Sectoral net zero pathways

Where possible, for enhanced robustness, investors are encouraged to consider more granular net zero pathways, including sectoral and country pathways.

Figure 5

 

The objective

Investors are encouraged to set a <10-year CO2e emissions reduction objective, expressed in absolute or intensity terms. At portfolio level, this should include scope 1 and 2 emissions.

Investors have a range of approaches available to setting the portfolio decarbonisation reference objective, each with their own merits and disadvantages which the guidance outlines in detail.

 

Types of starting point

The self-decarbonisation approach

Investors taking a self-decarbonisation approach set decarbonisation reference objectives relative to the portfolio’s own baseline emissions.

Benchmark-relative approach

Investors taking a benchmark-relative approach determine a starting point relative to a chosen benchmark and set a decarbonisation reference objective relative to the emissions of that benchmark.

 

Approaches to quantifying the objective

Point-in-time objective

Identifies a future year and selects an appropriate rate of emissions reductions, guided by the pathways identified in step 5. For example, 30% emissions reduction by 2025 or 55% by 2030, relative to the baseline year, 2019.

Portfolio carbon budget-based objective

A budget will be based on the cumulative GHG emissions applicable to a portfolio over a specific timeframe, such as between 2019 to 2025, 2030, or 2050. For example, a reduction of 940tCO2e between 2019 and 2030.

 

 

Attribution analysis

Investors are recommended to seek to understand which factors are driving the changes in portfolio emissions by conducting decarbonisation attribution analysis, which allocates emissions change to multiple drivers.

Decarbonisation attribution analysis offers a comprehensive way to assess and monitor the achievement of emissions reduction objectives, providing investors with key insights and action points, as outlined in the guidance.

Drivers of emissions change can be categorised into four buckets:

  1. Emissions metrics – Emissions change due to change in the operations of the underlying assets
  2. Portfolio composition – Emissions change due to divestment, new investment, and inter- or intra-sectoral weight change
  3. Financial metrics – Emissions change due to movements in non-emissions related metrics, such as EVIC and revenue
  4. Data – Emissions change due to changes in data, including coverage, quality, and methodology

The figure below provides an example of attribution analysis in practice.

Figure 10 simplified

 

Rebaselining policy

Recalculating portfolio baseline year emissions, or ‘rebaselining’, is a practice that investors may want to undertake to ensure consistency and relevance of reported GHG data over time and to reliably track progress against the portfolio decarbonisation reference objective.

As a general principle, the portfolio baseline is recommended to be reflective of the most recent emissions data and advanced estimation methodologies, and adjusted for changes in financial metrics unrelated to emissions.

A portfolio emissions rebaselining policy can cover:

  • The drivers of rebaselining (e.g. taken from the drivers identified through attribution analysis)
  • The frequency rebaselining will take place (e.g. on an ad-hoc or dynamic basis) and/or “thresholds” that trigger rebaselining
  • The process for communicating the outcomes of rebaselining and any impact on portfolio decarbonisation objectives
Disclosure recommendations

Investors are recommended to ensure transparency is always maintained in the setting and monitoring of the portfolio decarbonisation reference objective.

The document provides a detailed transparency framework to support investors in communicating a robust portfolio decarbonisation reference objective, with recommendations across all 7 steps listed above.

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